Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.523253 0.573996 0.629645 0.695597 0.772143 0.858827 0.965334
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.438338 0.512494 0.602069 0.720392 0.876009 1.078952 1.373203
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.370629 0.453522 0.561024 0.715561 0.941132 1.275253 1.846522
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.334343 0.425008 0.549962 0.743768 1.056177 1.583485 2.670848
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.294874 0.384611 0.513575 0.724777 1.091608 1.779309 3.454873
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.258971 0.343731 0.469097 0.682444 1.073812 1.869432 4.100543
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.230965 0.310808 0.431637 0.643775 1.051110 1.939803 4.784961
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.218774 0.299924 0.426626 0.658957 1.135342 2.291741 6.910562
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.213859 0.299401 0.437819 0.704934 1.298501 2.955817 12.253715
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.202891 0.288016 0.429088 0.711035 1.374521 3.436036 19.235879
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.189279 0.271068 0.408697 0.690098 1.378118 3.682447 26.521489
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.179353 0.259368 0.396323 0.683645 1.417908 4.111037 42.779259
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.170361 0.249085 0.386456 0.683329 1.482806 4.768979 91.300672
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.162839 0.240894 0.379958 0.690418 1.577474 5.763579 360.503065
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.153835 0.229470 0.366229 0.678809 1.612187 6.530218 3295.374045
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.149428 0.225743 0.366921 0.701739 1.775614 8.648789 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.141239 0.214628 0.351840 0.682983 1.782664 9.583450 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.131802 0.200677 0.329906 0.643608 1.697732 9.451402 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.123457 0.188281 0.310270 0.607868 1.617991 9.285848 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.120380 0.185317 0.309634 0.621734 1.745961 12.152253 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.119860 0.187011 0.318782 0.663870 2.025736 19.996356 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.116360 0.182853 0.315076 0.669440 2.142492 26.796670 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.111250 0.175340 0.303484 0.650248 2.123998 29.701467 NaN